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Lebanon's power balance has been tilting in favour of Hezbollah and its allies for years, and away from factions that aligned themselves with Western governments and Sunni-led Gulf Arab states that have largely given up their Lebanese allies. Lebanon's web of sectarian rivalries are complicated by foreign interests. In the meantime, Lebanon's collapse is driving ever more people to emigrate, in a braindrain across the sectarian spectrum which economists say will set back Lebanon for years. The new government of Prime Minister Najib Mikati has vowed to revive negotiations with the IMF to secure a rescue package.īut Lebanon must first agree on the size of vast losses in the financial system and how they should be shared out - something the government, banks and central bank failed to do last year. The collapse, which has driven some three quarters of Lebanese into poverty and sunk the currency by 90%, was caused by decades of financial mismanagement and corruption by the sectarian elite. The latest bloodshed takes place against the backdrop of one of the world's sharpest economic depressions, which spiraled from the meltdown of its financial system in 2019. The issue is sensitive for the Christian parties partly because, while the port blast killed many Muslims, the bulk of the physical damage was in predominantly Christian areas. This has generated friction between Aoun's party and Hezbollah, political sources say. While hitting fierce Shi'ite pushback, the probe has enjoyed broad Christian backing even from Hezbollah's main Christian ally, President Michel Aoun. These include the former prime minister Hassan Diab, a Sunni, a Christian general, and a senior Christian politician, Youssef Fenianous, a Hezbollah ally. Lead investigator Tarek Bitar issued an arrest warrant for one of them this week, Ali Hassan Khalil, a former finance minister who is the right-hand man of Shi'ite Parliament Speaker Nabih Berri, a close Hezbollah ally.īitar has also sought to question non-Shi'ite officials. Some of the most prominent suspects sought for questioning on suspicion of negligence are Shi'ite allies of the heavily armed, Iran-backed Shi'ite group Hezbollah.
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Shi'ites and Christians have lined up on opposite sides of this standoff.
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The crisis over the probe is rooted in one of Lebanon's main problems: sectarian politics that have divided Lebanese and fuelled civil conflict since independence. The judge has sought to question a number of senior politicians and security officials, including Hezbollah allies, suspected of negligence that led to the explosion, which was caused by a huge quantity of ammonium nitrate. Political tensions have been building over the probe into the explosion, which killed more than 200 people and devastated swathes of Beirut. Thursday's shooting erupted as protesters headed to a demonstration called by Hezbollah and its ally Amal to demand the removal of the judge investigating the port blast.
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